Monday, July 24, 2006

variations in league plunk rates.

Through May of the 2006 season major league batters had been getting hit at a rate of 1 per 95.5 plate appearances, but last month, June, saw the league plunk rate drop to once per 114.9 plate appearances. That is the largest May to June drop-off in plunk rate during Craig Biggio's career, and June of 2006 had the fewest hit batters per plate appearance since June of 2003. But, so far this month, batters have been plunked once per 97.3 plate appearance - very close to the pre-June rate. The change from June to July has been an 18% increase, which is the largest month to month increase since September of 1999 (not including partial months). Perhaps it's no coincidence then that Craig Biggio survived June unplunked, and has been hit twice so far in July.

Overall, the league is on pace to have the 2nd highest rate of plunkings since the 1900 season, trailing the 2001 record by only 1.5 plunks per 10,000 plate appearances. The league is on pace to hit around 1,851 batters, which would be the 2nd most ever (thanks mostly to expansion), behind the 2001 season when 1,890 batters were plunked.

Here are the month by month plunk rates for 1988 through 2006 to date:
MonthYearHBPPAPA/HBP
July20062262198797.3
June200626930905114.9
May20063453276195
April20062932815796.1
October200524227094.6
September20053233178498.4
August200530831944103.7
July200527931226111.9
June20053073058699.6
May200528731573110
April200526926891100
October2004323440107.5
September200429532012108.5
August20043433254594.9
July20043233138197.2
June200429331010105.8
May200429932098107.4
April20042632587898.4
March2004215577.5
September20033212987593.1
August200331632641103.3
July20033093079399.7
June200326830829115
May200328532009112.3
April20033403024989
March2003101041104.1
September200226030954119.1
August200230933004106.8
July20023183059796.2
June200227730588110.4
May200229232036109.7
April200229029356101.2
March2002071N/A
October2001687000102.9
September20012492487499.9
August20013373278597.3
July20013163036496.1
June20013353171694.7
May200130231881105.6
April200128328341100.1
October200014121486.7
September200028233052117.2
August200026833097123.5
July200023731188131.6
June200025331175123.2
May200023731758134
April200028028583102.1
March2000217587.5
October1999293431118.3
September199928431155109.7
August199924133791140.2
July199925931463121.5
June199927631473114
May199925932428125.2
April199923125934112.3
September199820328597140.9
August199827633959123
July199828330892109.2
June199826531497118.9
May199829732641109.9
April199825929740114.8
March19984931232.8
September199724028613119.2
August199726031483121.1
July199723029020126.2
June199723729433124.2
May199725329901118.2
April199722927063118.2
September199625528310111
August199625031760127
July199621629420136.2
June199624430571125.3
May199621728790132.7
April199622228294127.5
March1996097N/A
October199561168194.7
September199523229444126.9
August199525931802122.8
July199522229935134.8
June199522529154129.6
May199522130013135.8
April199554517595.8
August19947211194155.5
July199421629603137.1
June199421029251139.3
May199419529448151
April199418324976136.5
October1993193189167.8
September199320429324143.7
August199320130748153
July199320529338143.1
June199319429036149.7
May199322429400131.3
April199315323511153.7
October1992153609240.6
September199218527657149.5
August199218528006151.4
July199214726621181.1
June199215926928169.4
May199215326568173.6
April199213621127155.3
October1991265420208.5
September199115726920171.5
August199116029085181.8
July199115325837168.9
June199115827571174.5
May199112926897208.5
April199112219000155.7
October1990172829166.4
September199016427823169.7
August199014828466192.3
July199013427658206.4
June199013727904203.7
May199015026905179.4
April199011118716168.6
October19892971485.5
September198913327176204.3
August198914628770197.1
July198914426202182
June198912327364222.5
May198913026325202.5
April198912323208188.7
October1988121934161.2
September198814626334180.4
August198814328256197.6
July198815226794176.3
June198817227313158.8
May198815727571175.6
April198813621163155.6

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