Wednesday, April 26, 2006

festival of inning data

Recent discoveries on the internet of inning-by-inning data for the 1999 season have now made it possible to complete the inning data for all of Craig Biggio's 275 career plunks (thanks to retrosheet.org and archive.org's copy of the 1999 version of Astros.com). In celebration of this, here's a ridiculous amount of data on plunks by inning:

The Los Angelos Dodgers have hit Craig Biggio with a pitch 12 times. The Astros are 7-5 in those games. But, when Biggio has gotten hit by a Dodgers' pitch in the 2nd, 5th, 6th or 7th inning the Astros are 6-0. When they have hit him in the 4th and 8th, the Astros are 0-4. The Astros are 1-1 when the Dodgers hit Biggio with a pitch in the 3rd inning, but the win was at home and the loss was on the road.

Here's a handy reference table illustrating how many times the Dodgers have plunked Biggio in each inning, and the outcome of those games.

HomeAwayTotal
InningHBPWin-LossHBPWin-LosshbpWin-Loss
200-011-011-0
311-010-121-1
420-200-020-2
511-000-011-0
611-011-022-0
700-022-022-0
800-020-220-2
Total53-274-3127-5

The Dodgers and the Braves are the only National League teams who have never hit Craig Biggio with a pitch in the first inning.

Overall, Craig Biggio has been hit 56 times in the first inning, accounting for better than 20% of his total plunkings. But, other than the few examples of extra inning plunks, the Astros appear most likely to win the game when he gets hit in the 2nd inning. Logically, since Biggio has almost always led off or been near the top of the order, the Astros would have to score some runs for Biggio to bat again and get hit in the 2nd inning.
Here are the complete inning by inning plunk totals, with wins and losses of the games in which each plunk occurred.
InningHBPsWinsLossesWin pct
15633230.589
2151320.867
33821170.553
4271890.667
53524110.686
6229130.409
73622140.611
82611150.423
9144100.286
103120.333
111010
121101.000
131101.000

The above table double counts the 20 games in which Biggio has been hit by 2 pitches. Craig Biggio has been hit in the first and third inning of a game 3 different times, but the Astros are 1-2 in those games. Overall, the Astros are 14-6 when Biggio gets hit twice.

Wins and losses in 2 plunk games by inning of each plunk:
InningsW/L Record
1st HBP2nd HBPWinsLosses
1201
1312
1410
1610
1720
2310
2410
2510
3510
3701
4510
4610
4710
4811
5701
6710


When Craig Biggio gets hit in the first inning, he scores a run 42.8% of the time and the Astros are 19-5 in games in which a first inning plunk leads to Biggio scoring a run. He has only scored on 3 of the 15 times he's reached base in the 2nd inning after being plunked, but the Astros won the game all three times.

InningRuns off HBPsscoring rate HBPs %WinsLosses
12442.9%195
2320.0%30
31539.5%114
41037.0%91
51440.0%113
6313.6%21
71233.3%93
8830.8%62
9535.7%32
1000.0%00
1100.0%00
1200.0%00
131100.0%10
Total9534.5%7421

The totals of 74 wins and 21 losses again double count games in which Biggio scored a run on two different plunks in a game. He's done that 4 times, and the Astros are 3-1 in those games. Overall the Astros are 71-20 when Craig Biggio scores at least one run after reaching base on a plunk.

Also, readers may notice that last season we had come to the conclusion that Biggio had scored 96 times after reaching base on a plunk, but this table shows 95. Now that I've actually seen the inning summaries of all 255 games, I believe 95 is the correct total.

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3 Comments:

At 4/26/2006 07:32:00 PM, Anonymous DM said...

So why is it that the Astros do so poorly when Biggio records a plunk in the late innings of a game? That's a bit surprising to me.

 
At 4/26/2006 09:22:00 PM, Anonymous DM said...

Another curious entry: there was a game in which Bidge was plunked in both the first and second innings, and yet they somehow managed to lose that game? What happened there?

 
At 4/26/2006 10:03:00 PM, Blogger pbr said...

The 8th and 9th inning win percentages in plunk games do look pretty bad - I'm not sure what the problem there is. Maybe when I collect game score at the time of each plunk it will show that the 8th and 9th inning occurances are largely due to bad pitchers throwing garbage time innings or something. Yet there 3-3 in extra inning plunk games, and 5 of those 6 were road games.

The game where he got hit in the 1st and 2nd is here. They left the bases loaded in both innings and only got one run in the first. Meanwhile, Shane Reynolds, Jose Lima and Wayne Franklin gave up 11 runs.

 

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