Thursday, August 04, 2005

youth gone wild

Kaz Ishii, who turns 32 next month, is nearly 3.5 years older than the average Biggio plunking pitcher - 28.5. Biggio has been hit most often by 26 year old pitchers. However, rather than 26 year olds being more likely to hit batters than other aged pitcher, this is probably most likely due to the over abundance of 26 year old pitchers in the league. During Biggio's career (through '04) 26 year olds have thrown 65,548.67 innings, trailing only 27 year olds.

Biggio's HBPs by Pitcher's age
AgeBiggio plunks
2631
2827
2526
2924
3023
2421
3219
2717
3117
2314
2214
3312
346
214
362
392
372
412
402
382
201
351

Historically, the 26 year olds have ranked only 7th in hit batters per inning pitched at 0.0253, but their is very little variance between the ages. The leaders, age 22 at 0.0274, only hit batters about 29% more often than the most infrequent plunking ages (excluding ages at which less than 20 players pitched).

Plunks per inning - all time
AgePlunksInningsPitchersPlunks per Inning
223091112615.33333315080.027447
246275240260.66666628290.026115
257292282210.66666633240.025836
234562176658.66666621880.025821
287614299400.66666631130.025428
296871270813.33333327490.025371
267896312569.66666634580.02526
43994025560.024594
41278113101310.024579
27784332084534020.024444
21153964241.3333339130.023955
314823201612.33333320450.023922
3953322606.6666662490.023577
305560235942.33333323540.023565
32394716928017120.023316
421667138.333333830.023253
333236139863.33333314140.023136
35197785737.6666668980.023058
3876633378.3333333840.022947
1924410774.6666661820.022644
37103845976.6666664980.022575
361448644646880.022461
342501111944.33333311350.022341
2059026493.6666664740.022269
40383172521790.0222
44522343.333333290.022188
18844034790.020823



During Biggio's career it has been the older pitchers who have been hitting batters most frequently. The 45 and 46 year old groups are heavily skewed by Nolan Ryan and Charlie Hough, but the 18 pitchers who pitched at age 42 hit 70 batters in 1571.33 innings - 45% more often per inning than the 30 year olds.

Plunks per inning 1988-2004
AgePlunksInningsPitchersPlunks per Inning
4617277.334
0.061296
452656540.046017
42701571.3318
0.044547
401553868.67440.040065
211393549.3378
0.039162
4338976.67120.038907
392055487.3365
0.037356
383389217.6799
0.036666
41114314134
0.036294
2017471.67180.036042
3744912471.331460.036
241591455066520.034962
26227865548.67952
0.034752
28217762709.33840
0.034713
27231167122.67961
0.034428
2395028073.334250.033837
25189255925888
0.033831
2245713696.672280.033363
29194658910.33755
0.033033
33108933550391
0.032457
31150946510.67557
0.032442
3488727897.673190.031794
4415472.3370.031755
36526167612380.03138
35664215022980.030879
321237403085470.030687
30158551760.676970.030621


Craig Biggio has been hit 55 times by pitchers older than him, and 214 times by younger pitchers.

Note: for pitchers who hit Craig Biggio with a pitch I used actual age of pitchers on the date they hit Biggio, but for historical plunk data I used the age the season during the year in which they turned a given age (season minus birthyear), so players who turned 28 in December were consider to be 28 for the season. Because it was easier.

3 Comments:

At 8/04/2005 01:14:00 PM, Blogger pjm said...

Surely Excel would let you do a standard deviation for some of those?

 
At 8/05/2005 12:30:00 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Plunk number 270, leading off the ninth inning in the BOB. Not enough to win the game, though.

 
At 8/05/2005 06:30:00 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Now if you ask me, and plenty folks do now and again, sometimes my prognostications come just a tad early, like when I suspected that Javier Vazquez was going to be guilty of hurling the 270th plunk at our man “Target” Biggio. Well, I was wrong. I like to be the first one to admit that I am wrong because if I don’t, then Mama sure as heck will. She likes to jump in there and point out each and every time I get the least little detail wrong… such as the pitcher guilty of the 270th. I got the city right, and the month right, and I reckon that ought to count for something.

Anyhow, this here José Valverde was the man. Now if you use the patented Cletus J. “Bubba” Huckabee Anagram Generator (version 3.4a, aka “the grits and gravy version”…which I have mentioned previously) you will see that the same letters that make up the name José Valverde also spell out “JADE REVOLVES” and that should have been the hint that clued me in to the fact that Señor Valverde was going to be the guilty one.


Now, I am still mystified, as I am sure many of you are, that “Javier Vazquez” also spells out… “VIVA JAZZ QUEER” and that looked to me to be a sure sign of plunkiness, but this time he wasn’t guilty of the act… so apologies to Señor Vazquez, the Pride of Ponce, Puerto Rico.

 

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